Kalshi and Polymarket proved the demand, but they are venues — isolated order books with no shared event definitions, no cross-venue liquidity, and no way to finance a position. Every asset class gets its exchanges first and its prime brokers second. Predifi is building that second layer, across eight categories on a single normalized event engine.
| Indicator | Reading | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Category volume | $50B+ | Traded across prediction markets in 2025, from near zero in 2023 |
| Regulatory status | CFTC | Event contracts federally regulated, opening the category to institutional capital |
| Prime brokers serving it | 0 | No credit desks, no cross-venue clearing, no structured products |
Eight market categories across one normalized event layer — crypto, equities, sports, politics, macro, awards, entertainment, and culture. The same settlement engine drives every one, which is what makes the layer general rather than a single-vertical venue.
Six products in sequence. Aggregation wins the order flow; credit compounds it. Each layer makes the next more valuable and harder for a single venue to replicate.
| # | Product | Function | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Prime brokerage | Normalizes event definitions across Kalshi, Polymarket, and native markets into one execution surface | Alpha |
| 02 | Credit layer | Borrow against held assets at dynamic LTVs; capital efficiency multiplies volume on our own surface | Internal |
| 03 | Neutral vaults | Idle collateral and float earn market-neutral yield. Deployed on Base and Robinhood Chain | Alpha |
| 04 | Basket markets | Structured multi-leg positions at higher margin. Three products: 15m Sprint, Power Hour, Sports Pick 3 | Alpha |
| 05 | AI resolution | Autonomous agents settle long-tail markets in minutes — the constraint capping how many markets a venue can list | Alpha |
| 06 | 0DTE contracts | Same-day settlement on crypto and SPX across 5-minute, 15-minute, and hourly cadences | Alpha |
Credit layer is held in internal testing pending its risk engine. We are not exposing collateralized positions before that ships.
Both ex-Amazon and ex-JPMorgan. Event derivatives need institutional clearing logic and infrastructure that survives high-frequency load; we have shipped both.
QuillAudits reviewed the contract suite. All 16 findings closed, including one critical and two high, before mainnet deployment.
Optimism and Hedera ecosystem grants. Incubated by Cogitent Ventures.
Gasless onboarding across 18 networks via Rhinestone and Relay. Users fund from wherever their assets sit and trade in one step.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Alpha users onboarded | 500+ |
| Markets settled daily | 1,240 |
| Market categories | 8 |
| Settlement cadences | 7 · 5 min to 1 month |
Closed alpha runs on test collateral. Real-money rails are in progress ahead of launch.